Research / Stocks / FOSL FOSL Nasdaq CIK 0000883569
Fossil Group, Inc. · Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts
COVERAGE / STANDARD
Latest filing 4 · Aug 21, 2026
Research state Latest filing analysis is current
Last SEC check Sep 14, 2026
Data basis Official SEC · no quote feed Component status Filing Evidence Research Current Official SEC filing history is available
Structured Financials Research Current Validated structured financial research is available
Filing Analysis Research Current No filing analysis job is currently running
Fundamental State Research Current Fundamental State depends on validated comparable financial metrics
RESEARCH SNAPSHOT Fossil Group, Inc.'s latest supported as-filed period reports revenue of $209.7M ; gross margin moved 487 basis points higher on the same comparison basis. Every value below links to its SEC accession and metric lineage.
Deterministic / evidence backed Key research observations No material rule-based research observation currently meets GrossPattern's Insight value threshold. Current state, direction, and filing evidence remain available below.
Current configuration / point in time Fundamental state A multidimensional view of the latest comparable filing—not a composite score or recommendation.
Revenue growth 89th Own-history percentile · N=9
Method Yoy · gp.fundamentals.revenue
Raw value -4.86% · CORE
Inventory pressure 69th Own-history percentile · N=13
Method Level · gp.fundamentals.inventory_revenue_ratio
Raw value 84.85% · OPTIONAL
Gross margin 100th Own-history percentile · N=13
Method Level · gp.fundamentals.gross_margin
Raw value 62.38% · CORE
Operating margin 85th Own-history percentile · N=13
Method Level · gp.fundamentals.operating_margin
Raw value 1.53% · CORE
Inspect state history and evidence → 4 dimension transitions in this filing Deterministic multi-period research Company direction Business direction, financial quality, capital allocation, and governance evidence remain separate—never collapsed into a recommendation score.
As filed Jul 4, 2026 General Corporate
Company Direction 4 evidence-backed dimensions Inventory Pressure Stable Margin Improving Profitability Stable Growth Improving [email protected] · 14 historical states · 47% confidenceFinancial Quality 3 evidence-backed dimensions Inventory Pressure Stable Margin Improving Profitability Stable [email protected] · 14 historical states · 50% confidenceGovernance Evidence 3 evidence-backed dimensions Filing Amendments Observed Auditor Changes None Detected Insider Activity Observed [email protected] · 14 historical states · 50% confidenceInterpretation boundary Direction describes measurable company fundamentals. Governance reports observable evidence only; it does not grade management character or predict stock returns.
Comparable evidence Peer context Latest available comparable states within 180 days, normalized with robust median/MAD statistics.
Growth
FOSL -4.9
Peer median 9.5
Peer percentile 17th 181 valid peers · 91% coverage · -0.9 robust σ Inventory Pressure
FOSL 84.8
Peer median 68.2
Peer percentile 64th 186 valid peers · 93% coverage · +0.4 robust σ Margin
FOSL 62.4
Peer median 58.4
Peer percentile 58th 166 valid peers · 83% coverage · +0.2 robust σ Profitability
FOSL 1.5
Peer median -3.1
Peer percentile 54th 189 valid peers · 95% coverage · +0.1 robust σ Open group breadth → Divergence is context, not positive or negative. INSIDER STATE / 90D Recent disclosed activity
Open-market purchases 1
Sales 0
Distinct buyers 1
Repeat buyer NO Conservative Form 4 classification · not a sentiment label Flagship analysis / V3 What changed? The most important deterministic changes, ranked by magnitude, issuer history, persistence, and accounting profile.
Current 10-Q 0000883569-26-000055 9 governed changes · top 7 shown
01
HIGH IMPORTANCE Cash 100TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=2
Cash & equivalents decreased 28.1% Cash & equivalents changed -28.1% from the comparable as-filed period.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] $109.9M → $79.0M Comparable → current
02
HIGH IMPORTANCE Margin 100TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=3
Gross margin moved 487 bp higher Gross margin changed +487 basis points from the comparable as-filed period.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] 57.50% → 62.38% Comparable → current
03
INFORMATIONAL IMPORTANCE Margin 0TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=3
Gross profit increased 3.2% Gross profit changed +3.2% from the comparable as-filed period.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] $126.7M → $130.8M Comparable → current
04
INFORMATIONAL IMPORTANCE Inventory 0TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=4
Inventory decreased 0.1% Inventory changed -0.1% from the comparable as-filed period. The change ranks at the 0th percentile of 4 prior comparable changes.
As-filed financials Financial trajectory Each point keeps the date investors could first observe it and its accession.
As filed Current normalized · later
Capex / revenue 0.42% +0.0% ↑ Capital expenditure $949,000 -63.0% ↓ Cash & equivalents $79.0M +0.0% ↑ Debt $177.8M +7981.8% ↑ Free-cash-flow proxy -$22.7M +0.0% ↑ Gross margin 62.38% +0.0% ↑ Interest expense $5.1M -76.5% ↓ Inventory $177.9M +14.0% ↑
ACTIVE TRACE Revenue FOSL · as filed with the SEC · reported-date aware
Capex / revenue Q1 / 2026-04-04 0.42% +0.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Capital expenditure Q1 / 2026-04-04 $949,000 -63.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Cash & equivalents Q2 / 2026-07-04 $79.0M +0.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Debt FY / 2026-01-03 $177.8M +7981.8% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Free-cash-flow proxy Q1 / 2026-04-04 -$22.7M +0.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Gross margin Q2 / 2026-07-04 62.38% +0.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Interest expense Q1 / 2024-03-30 $5.1M -76.5% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Inventory Q2 / 2026-07-04 $177.9M +14.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Net income Q2 / 2026-07-04 -$10.6M -1465.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Operating cash flow Q1 / 2026-04-04 -$21.8M +62.4% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Operating margin Q2 / 2026-07-04 1.53% +0.0% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Research & development FY / 2026-01-03 $0 Comparable n/a Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Primary evidence Filing timeline Direct SEC links, filing dates, report periods, and amendment flags.
4 Aug 21, 2026 Period Aug 20, 2026 0000883569-26-000060SEC ↗ 4 Aug 20, 2026 Period Aug 18, 2026 0000883569-26-000058SEC ↗ 10-Q Aug 13, 2026 Period Jul 4, 2026 0000883569-26-000055SEC ↗ 8-K Aug 12, 2026 Period Aug 12, 2026 0000883569-26-000052SEC ↗ 8-K Jul 20, 2026 Period Jul 20, 2026 0000883569-26-000049SEC ↗ 4 May 20, 2026 Period May 18, 2026 0000883569-26-000040SEC ↗ 10-Q May 14, 2026 Period Apr 4, 2026 0000883569-26-000038SEC ↗ Form 4 Insider activity Transaction semantics distinguish purchases, sales, awards, exercises, withholding, and derivatives.
“Insider purchase” rule Code P · non-derivative · acquired · direct ownership · positive price and shares · not amended
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