Research / Stocks / AGO AGO NYSE CIK 0001273813
ASSURED GUARANTY LTD · Surety Insurance
COVERAGE / STANDARD
Latest filing 4 · Aug 21, 2026
Research state Latest filing analysis is current
Last SEC check Nov 2, 2026
Data basis Official SEC · no quote feed Component status Filing Evidence Research Current Official SEC filing history is available
Structured Financials Research Current Validated structured financial research is available
Filing Analysis Research Current No filing analysis job is currently running
Fundamental State Research Current Fundamental State depends on validated comparable financial metrics
RESEARCH SNAPSHOT ASSURED GUARANTY LTD's latest supported as-filed period reports revenue of $195.0M , 30.6% below the comparable as-filed period. Every value below links to its SEC accession and metric lineage.
Deterministic / evidence backed Key research observations No material rule-based research observation currently meets GrossPattern's Insight value threshold. Current state, direction, and filing evidence remain available below.
Profile-correct / independently verified Company quality vector Separate current dimensions—not a universal score or investment ranking.
Evidence coverage 0 / 6 Insurance · 2026-06-30
Revenue growth Insufficient History
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Premium growth Insufficient History
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Claims pressure Insufficient History
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Earnings growth Insufficient History
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Cash Period Incompatible
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Debt Period Incompatible
Direction Unknown
Own history —
Peers —
Persistence TRANSIENT Current configuration / point in time Fundamental state A multidimensional view of the latest comparable filing—not a composite score or recommendation.
Cash RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Level · gp.fundamentals.cash
Raw value $331.0M · CORE
Policy-benefit growth RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Yoy · gp.insurance.policy_benefits
Raw value -85.71% · OPTIONAL
Debt RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Level · gp.fundamentals.gross_debt
Raw value $1.7B · OPTIONAL
Net-income growth RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Yoy · gp.fundamentals.net_income
Raw value -62.14% · CORE
Premium growth RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Yoy · gp.insurance.premiums
Raw value 14.61% · CORE
Revenue growth RAW Current state valid · history insufficient
Method Yoy · gp.fundamentals.revenue
Raw value -30.61% · CORE
Inspect state history and evidence → 6 dimension transitions in this filing Deterministic multi-period research Company direction Business direction, financial quality, capital allocation, and governance evidence remain separate—never collapsed into a recommendation score.
As filed Jun 30, 2026 Insurance
Governance Evidence 3 evidence-backed dimensions Filing Amendments None Detected Auditor Changes None Detected Insider Activity Observed [email protected] · 3 historical states · 50% confidenceInterpretation boundary Direction describes measurable company fundamentals. Governance reports observable evidence only; it does not grade management character or predict stock returns.
INSIDER STATE / 90D Recent disclosed activity
Open-market purchases 0
Sales 0
Distinct buyers 0
Repeat buyer NO Conservative Form 4 classification · not a sentiment label Flagship analysis / V3 What changed? The most important deterministic changes, ranked by magnitude, issuer history, persistence, and accounting profile.
Current 10-Q 0001273813-26-000077 6 governed changes · top 6 shown
01
INFORMATIONAL IMPORTANCE Cash 0TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=2
Cash & equivalents increased 1.8% Cash & equivalents changed +1.8% from the comparable as-filed period.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] $325.0M → $331.0M Comparable → current
02
INFORMATIONAL IMPORTANCE Debt 0TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=4
Debt increased 0.3% Debt changed +0.3% from the comparable as-filed period. The change ranks at the 0th percentile of 4 prior comparable changes.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] $1.7B → $1.7B Comparable → current
03
HIGH IMPORTANCE Net Income 100TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=3
Net income decreased 62.1% Net income changed -62.1% from the comparable as-filed period.
Why this ranks here · [email protected] $103.0M → $39.0M Comparable → current
04
HIGH IMPORTANCE Policy Benefits 33TH HISTORICAL PCTL · N=3
Policy benefits and claims decreased 85.7% As-filed financials Financial trajectory Each point keeps the date investors could first observe it and its accession.
As filed Current normalized · later
Cash & equivalents $331.0M -0.6% ↓ Debt $1.7B +0.1% ↑ Interest expense $23.0M -74.4% ↓ Interest income $100.0M +6.4% ↑ Net income $39.0M -55.7% ↓ Operating cash flow $40.0M -78.9% ↓ Policy benefits and claims $4.0M -76.5% ↓ Premiums earned $102.0M +24.4% ↑
ACTIVE TRACE Revenue AGO · as filed with the SEC · reported-date aware
Cash & equivalents Q2 / 2026-06-30 $331.0M -0.6% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Debt Q2 / 2026-06-30 $1.7B +0.1% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Interest expense Q1 / 2024-03-31 $23.0M -74.4% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Interest income Q2 / 2026-06-30 $100.0M +6.4% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Net income Q2 / 2026-06-30 $39.0M -55.7% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Operating cash flow Q2 / 2026-06-30 $40.0M -78.9% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Policy benefits and claims Q2 / 2026-06-30 $4.0M -76.5% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Premiums earned Q2 / 2026-06-30 $102.0M +24.4% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Revenue Q2 / 2026-06-30 $195.0M -25.3% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Stock-based compensation FY / 2014-12-31 $9.0M +28.6% sequential point Trace ↗ Evidence inspector
Loading lineage… × Primary evidence Filing timeline Direct SEC links, filing dates, report periods, and amendment flags.
4 Aug 21, 2026 Period Aug 20, 2026 0001213900-26-092683SEC ↗ 8-K Aug 7, 2026 Period Aug 7, 2026 0001273813-26-000079SEC ↗ 10-Q Aug 7, 2026 Period Jun 30, 2026 0001273813-26-000077SEC ↗ 8-K Aug 6, 2026 Period Aug 6, 2026 0001273813-26-000075SEC ↗ 4 Jul 24, 2026 Period Jul 22, 2026 0001628280-26-049638SEC ↗ 4 Jul 6, 2026 Period Jul 1, 2026 0001213900-26-075630SEC ↗ 4 Jun 18, 2026 Period Jun 17, 2026 0001213900-26-070181SEC ↗ Form 4 Insider activity Transaction semantics distinguish purchases, sales, awards, exercises, withholding, and derivatives.
“Insider purchase” rule Code P · non-derivative · acquired · direct ownership · positive price and shares · not amended
Inspectable by design
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